Poker Odds
Poker is a card game played with a normal deck of 52 cards. Sometimes, additional
cards called "jokers" are also used. In straight or draw poker, each player
is normally dealt a hand of five cards. Depending on the variant, players
then discard and redraw cards, trying to improve their hands. Bets are placed
at each discard step. The number of possible distinct five-card hands is
where is a binomial coefficient.
There are special names for specific types of hands. A royal flush is an ace, king, queen, jack, and 10, all of one suit. A straight flush is five consecutive cards all of the same suit (but not a royal flush), where an ace may count as either high or low. A full house is three-of-a-kind and a pair. A flush is five cards of the same suit (but not a royal flush or straight flush). A straight is five consecutive cards (but not a royal flush or straight flush), where an ace may again count as either high or low.
The probabilities of being dealt five-card poker hands of a given type (before discarding and with no jokers) on the initial deal are given below (Packel 1981). As usual, for a hand with probability , the odds against being dealt it are .
Hand | Exact Probability | Probability | odds |
royal flush | 649,739.0:1 | ||
straight flush | 72,192.3:1 | ||
four of a kind | 4,164.0:1 | ||
full house | 693.2:1 | ||
flush | 507.8:1 | ||
straight | 253.8:1 | ||
three of a kind | 0.0211 | 46.3:1 | |
two pair | 0.0475 | 20.0:1 | |
one pair | 0.423 | 1.366:1 |